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Midterm election 2018 -- Analysis

Nearly 420,000 Arkansans have cast their midterm election ballots as of Monday morning.

The midterm election on average generates 50 percent voter turnout in Arkansas, according to the Arkansas Secretary of State's office.

Republicans continue to dominate the Arkansas State Legislature.

All 100 state house seats and 18 of 35 state senate positions are on the line.

Talk Business and Politics' Roby Bock says it's "almost mathematically impossible" for Democrats to win control of either chamber.

"But there are a lot of competitive races around the state and there's probably a good 8-10 that will really be worth keeping an eye on. We'll certainly be doing that on election night," Brock said.

The conservative stronghold also translates to the Arkansas governor's race, featuring incumbent Asa Hutchison and Democratic newcomer Jared Henderson.

Brock expects a quick call on the governor's race.

"It's a tough hill to climb when you don't have a lot of name ID and you don't have a lot of money in the bank to run against a guy that's been on the ballot for three or four decades."

What will take some time to call will be the 2nd Congressional District race involving Republican incumbent French Hill and Democratic candidate Clarke Tucker.

There's also uncertainty concerning the Little Rock mayor race and Issue 4, which would legalize casino gambling in Arkansas.

Across the scale, midterms 2018 could bring about a few surprises.

"I think when we start seeing some early returns come in nationally and in Arkansas in 2018, I think we'll get a feel for whether or not its kind of go according to script or if we might see something completely -- that we're not prepared for or we didn't see coming. And that's what I think makes elections so exciting."

Minimum wage, voter ID and a host of state office positions including Attorney General and Secretary of State are also issues on the ballot.


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